President Trump is scheduled to campaign in Wichita on Monday for Sen. Roger Marshall, a visit that signals just how competitive Kansas has become. Recent polling puts Marshall three points behind Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton, a notable shift in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932.
Trump’s approval in Kansas sits at 46 percent, one of only ten states where it remains above water, which explains why the White House is investing a full rally stop there rather than a safer map. After Wichita, the President continues to North Carolina, South Carolina, and Iowa, a four-state week that reflects the broader fight for Senate control.
The stakes are easy to see. Democrats need four seats to take the majority, and a tightening race in deep-red Kansas could be an early signal of where the midterms are heading. For Florida voters, it’s a reminder that coastal counties here won’t be the only ones deciding the national picture.
Does a Kansas poll this late in the cycle tell us anything real about November, or is it too early to read the tea leaves?
